Tag Archives: risk

A Conversation with Peter Thiel and Niall Ferguson 1990’s: The pace of technological change is getting faster! and the pace at which it’s getting faster is getting faster!! Soon we’ll all be cyborgs and live for 1000 years in the … Continue reading

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XIV does not get you short the VIX. Not even close. (Source: http://www.youtube.com/)

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Smart Risks

One misconception I got from the academic theory of finance is that risk and reward go together. You take on more risk, you get more reward. This is formalised in CAPM theory as a higher expected return associated with a … Continue reading

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Gauging the frothiness of the webby/techy/san-fran VC market. Source: Mark Suster. Propagated via one of tumblr’s owners, who added: Based on the NVCA statistics on the venture capital industry, there are [approximately] 1,000 early stage financings every year…. And somewhere … Continue reading

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market makers are normally paranoid that the other side of the trade “knows” what is going on and that it is a pickoff. as a market maker, you think “what can i do against this that makes sense?” so you … Continue reading

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Pricing Risk

“Pricing” risk means, in part, assessing the probability of some sh*tty outcome. Like, “Well, Baggins, what are the chances that… interest rates move against us?” the company defaults on its debts?” a chain reaction based in the debts of South … Continue reading

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Pricing Risk

“Pricing” risk means, in part, assessing the probability of some sh*tty outcome. Like, “Well, Baggins, what are the chances that… interest rates move against us?” the company defaults on its debts?” a chain reaction based in the short-debts of South … Continue reading

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