Tag Archives: probability distributions

I Need A Speech Bubble To Appear Over My Head When I Talk So I Can Diagram the Bayesian Uncertainty In My Statements

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How Not To Draw a Probability Distribution

If I google for “probability distribution” I find the following extremely bad picture: It’s bad because it conflates ideas and oversimplifies how variable probability distributions can generally be. Most distributions are not unimodal. Most distributions are not symmetric. Most distributions … Continue reading

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Sub i, sub j

I hope I can say this in a way that makes sense. One kind of mathematical symbology your eyes eventually get used to is the “Σum over all individuals” concept: Yes, at first it’s painful, but eventually it looks no … Continue reading

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Irrationality in Economics, and “Subjective Probability”

I gave this talk several years ago, but you know what? It’s still pretty decent. Irrationality in Economics   The title is misleading. Like many of my titles, it’s meant to grab attention rather than be exactly correct. I was trying, … Continue reading

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